Friday, April 18, 2008

Why This is Not 2005

First of all, UNC did not win it all. Secondly, none of the UNC players are likely to be lottery picks. In 2005, four players were selected in the first 14 picks - projections this year would have Hansbrough, Lawson and Ellington going no higher than the second half of the first round. That's a big drop in contract money.

Ty Lawson and Wayne Ellington would clearly be better served with another year of college - both could potentially raise their draft status substantially, especially as next year's draft doesn't appear at this point to be as competitive. On the other hand, I'm not sure what Tyler can do to raise his stock and I suppose he could potentially fall off a bit. There's nothing that says this is an all-or-nothing deal (all three stay or go), but it does seem often to work out that way.

Tyler Hansbrough has got nothing left to prove to anyone other than himself. If he wants to come back and rewrite the UNC record book and try a last time to win a national championship, I would heartily applaud him but if he chooses to enter the draft, I'll say "thanks for everything" and hope he confounds the experts and becomes an All-Star. On the other hand, I'll be disappointed if Ty and Wayne jump (remember they're only sophomores) as I think they have potential to really help themselves with another year at UNC. Remember Joe Forte? No one else does.

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